The above represent only a few of the predictions Ray has made.While he hasn't been precisely right, to the exact year, his track record is stunningly . In 1965, a statistician named I.J. The central theme of this book is the idea that technology progresses exponentially, rather than linearly. I don't think he's wrong in terms of his high level view on where our technology is going, just a few decades on the early side - which is unfortunate for those of us who will age to . 2029 Future Timeline | Timeline | Technology | Singularity ... He s a computer scientist, inventor and futurist. . AI Timelines > Predictions of human-level AI timelines > List of published analyses of time to human-level AI > Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near. Though retired as a practicing (materials and quantum) scientist, I've diligently followed the scientific journals and have developed 'hobbies' in advanced technologies such as energy and nanotech. Basically, it would occur when a machine exists that's smarter than . The central theme of this book is the idea that technology progresses exponentially, rather than linearly. Enjoy! I put all Kurzweil's future predictions on a timeline. Everything from biology to nanotech, computing, the . 95% Upvoted. Thought Provoking. He s the author of 5 bestsellers and holds a variety of awards and honors. Epoch 5 is where the Singularity will begin. And 2019 is one of Kurzweil's major markers in his prediction timeline. Kurzweil predictions on the future of technology and humanity. hide. At list that s what Ray Kurzweil thinks. If this is the case—Kurzweil gets the facts right, but the timeline wrong—it would be interesting to revisit these predictions in 2029 (if he is a decade optimistic) and 2039 (if he expected things to go twice as fast). 7y. Dec 6, 2016 - Future Timeline | Latest Predictions | Technology | Singularity | 2020 | 2050 | 2100 | 2150 | 2200 | 21st century | 22nd century | 23rd century . 338. Future Trends. I put all Kurzweil's future predictions on a timeline. Although Ray Kurzweil's predictions suggest that in 2019 humans would have been able to have deep relationships with artificial personalities, we are still far from this moment. My interest in the issues . Ray's predictions for the next 25 years. Ray Kurzweil Predicts an exact year 2029 by which singularity will occur.Watch Full Documentary by Ray Kurzweil and Michio Kaku - https://www.youtube.com/wat. He has made 147 predictions since the 1990's and has maintained an astonishing 86% accuracy rate. Ray Kurzweil is famous for his vision and prediction of a Technological Singularity by 2049 Although whenever Ray predicts a date like 2049, based on Kurzweil's own past reviews of his predictions, he gives his predictions ten years late or early to develop. I write about the future of science, technology, and culture. The first step to establishing a forecast is to look at the near future, ie. Flickr / jdlasica. and then work backwards to arrive at an approximate timeline. We're certainly catching up on several of those we missed for 2009, though he's now wrong about there being no economic downturn; he couldn't foresee COVID-19. I write about the future of science, technology, and culture. The most well-known of these trends is Moore's Law, but there are dozens of other examples. Adoption & political rulings sometimes cause delays though, so you're totally right. Join Imgur Emerald to award Accolades! two of Kurzweil's most revolutionary futurist predictions: human-level natural language capabilities will be achieved in computers by 2029, and artificial general intelligence (AGI) towards the beginning of post-humanity will be achieved by 2045.3 In Kurzweil's vision, biological humans will experience a utopian merger with Daily Meditation. Future Predictions. Mind-reading devices to end wrongful convictions: Future of law P2. imgur. Common misconception about Ray Kurzweil's predictions Post by Set and Meet Goals » Sat May 29, 2021 10:46 am Ray Kurzweils predictions are not 10 years too early, the predictions are 50% too early this is because Ray says computational power doubles every year where in reality computational power doubles every 18 months. He s a computer scientist, inventor and futurist. 02020-02025 $2,000. There are movies depicting our possible futures (The Matrix, Inception). Future Timeline | Latest Predictions | Technology | Singularity | 2020 | 2050 | 2100 | 2150 | 2200 | 21st century | 22nd century | 23rd century | Humanity . Timeline of Ray Kurzweil's Singularity Predictions From 2019 To 2099. Everything else is either a prediction or planned to happen between 2020 and 2100. The Singularity Is Near is a book by Ray Kurzweil. - posted in AI & Singularity: In all, this claimed "world's fastest desktop supercomputer" comes in at a rather bargain basement (as far as supercomputers are concerned) price of only 4,000 euros ($5,823.41 USD). Top 20 predictions from Kurzweil - Future Technologies We live in the most "interesting" period mankind has ever known. The Timeline of the Future combines real predictions about the future with fictional events due to happen in the 21st century. So by Ray's personal standard his prediction timing of being correct on the . Here are a few of the predictions he's made about life up to 2015. Raymond "Ray" Kurzweil, född 12 februari 1948 i Queens i New York, är en amerikansk uppfinnare och futurolog. . The most well-known of these trends is Moore's Law, but there are . Trending Memes. Ray Kurzweil's Predictions For 2009 Were Mostly Inaccurate. Ray Kurzweil is arguably one of the people most often associated with the technological singularity timeline, but he's not the only one, nor the first to ponder this idea. 2106 votes and 16694 views on Imgur: The magic of the Internet. However, at the time, I didn't realize that he was writing a sequence of 10-year predictions, so I didn't look at the corresponding predictions for 2009 or 2029. Last month the community blog LessWrong took a look at how accurate Kurzweil's predictions turned out to be: This was a follow up to a previous assessment about his predictions about 2009, which showed a mixed bag, roughly evenly divided between right and wrong, which I'd found pretty good for 10 . According to Kurzweil, 2045 will ring in the singularity. This article is more than 9 years old. Ray Kurzweil's Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years. Nanotechnology Predictions. Looking at where technology is in the world today and the timelines predicted for the rise of artificial intelligence leaves Nye dubious of Kurzweil's predictions. It's been suggested that Kurzweil's predictions for 2009 are mostly correct in 2019. He s the author of 5 bestsellers and holds a variety of awards and honors. More . These predictions are based on the progression of computing power - which has served Kurzweil well. Ray Kurzweil på Nobel Week Dialogue, 2015. Ray Kurzweil — Singularitarian Immortalist, Director of Engineering at Google, famous inventor, author of How to Create a Mind A world-class prolific inventor and leading futurist author, "the restless genius" (Wall Street Journal) points to 2045 for the technological singularity when A.I. Ray invented the CCD flatbed scanner and the text-to . Enjoy! Updated at 18:30 EST to correct timeline of prediction to 2030 from 2020 Reverse-engineering the human brain so we can simulate it using computers may be just two decades away, says Ray Kurzweil . There are futurists who explore our possibilities (Ray Kurzweil, Michio Kaku). "By 2050 the world had finally achieved a global economy that appears to be environmentally sustainable while providing nearly all people with the basic necessities of life and the majority with a comfortable living. report. A Look at Some of Ray Kurzweil's Predictions on Longevity. Ray Kurzweil is one of the world leading inventors, thinkers, and futurists, with a thirty-year track record of accurate predictions. Ray Kurzweil is an inventor and futurist who has championed the Law of Accelerating Returns, claiming that computer technology is following an exponential path that will lead to the Singularity - a point in time when computer power reaches super intelligence and all things are possible. In short, The Singularity is an advanced Artificial Intelligence (AI) that is not limited to a biological anatomy. This thread is archived. Technological Singularity. I maintain however that prediction is impossible these days, as there are so many variables across multiple domains to consider. Using exponential graphs of technology trends as predictive mechanisms, Kurzweil speculates that a machine will pass the Turing Test . Retro Futurism. By 2035 there will be at least 10 people living on Mars for a period of more than 2 months. Kurzweil claims an 86% accuracy rate with his predictions going back to the 90s. Why 2020 is a rare window in time that's hard to see beyond. It may seem like a lot of money for a computer, but this isn't just any old computer. jcranmer 4 months ago [-] When the topic of Kurzweil's predictions for 2019 came up 2 years ago (! It has the potential to create an era of . Retro Futurism. The graphs have remained spot-on. More . Important to consider is that if Kurzweil's predictions come true, in 2029 when we've reverse engineered the brain we would have already had nine years of improvement on those computer systems . or The Kurzweil Foundation if Kurzweil wins. Upvote. Beyond our imagination! Share Why Ray Kurzweil's Predictions Are Right 86% of the Time on Facebook . Motherboard has called Ray Kurzweil "a prophet of both techno-doom and techno-salvation." With a little wiggle room given to the timelines the author, inventor, computer scientist, futurist . The following predictions were made by Ray Kurzweil in his book The Singularity Is Near. 02020-02035 $500. Timeline of Ray Kurzweil's Singularity Predictions From 2019 To 2099. Culture related predictions due to make an impact in 2045 include: List of future legal precedents tomorrow's courts will judge: Future of law P5. There are books about the future (1984, The Road). save. My interest in the issues . Timeline. Called "the restless genius" by The Wall Street Journal and "the ultimate thinking machine" by Forbes magazine, Ray was selected as one of the top entrepreneurs by Inc. magazine, which described him as the . NEW: 1999 State of the Future: Challenges We Face at the Millennium. How could monumental w. Page 4 of 9 - How accurate are Ray Kurzweil's predictions? If Ray Kurzweil predictions continue to come true, machines will be smarter than humans in just a few years. 2010: Computers become invisible. Ray Kurzweil. For example, the prediction of the point at which "aggregate global computer power pulling even with, and then surpassing, aggregate global human brain power" The following predictions were made by Ray Kurzweil in his book The Singularity Is Near.Now a director of engineering at Google, he has made 147 predictions since the 1990s, and has maintained an astonishing 86% accuracy rate. Trending Memes. He is a businessman, multi-award-winning inventor, writer, Engineering director at Google, creator of the first complete OCR (Optical Character Recognition) system and some of the most well-known musical synthesizers in the world who has been awarded an Honoris Causa Doctorate by multiple universities … and also a futurist. 1,751. $1,000 Josh M Levine Thomas R Sohmers. Ray Kurzweil. Want to know what the future's going to be like? Enjoy! Though this may seem incredible, he has . Daily Meditation. In his singularity timeline , he predicts that the singularity itself is reached by 2045. Included herein is a discussion of my predictions from The Age of Intelligent Machines (which I wrote in the 1980s), all 147 predictions for 2009 in The Age of Spiritual Close. Future Timeline is an established website featuring various predictions and timelines about the future on humanity and the universe.. imgur. Kurzweil is known for making predictions about the future, which are right about 86% of the time. @neuralink and @elonmusk 's recent announcement adds significant credence to Ray's prediction and timeline. In my new book BOLD, one of the interviews that I'm most excited about is with my good friend Ray Kurzweil. Read original article in full here. Posted by 3 years ago. - Imgur. You'll never die, for starters. I liked how he compared how technology has progressed over a timeline, and he really made me stop to . ), I gave him a ~20% hit rate [1]. 848. Accolades. share. Ray Kurzweil's Predictions For 2009 Were Mostly Inaccurate. At list that s what Ray Kurzweil thinks. 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